How I Evaluate Polling

Leo Smith
4 min readNov 27, 2019

Is the 34% Black American Approval Rating for President Trump Significant?

I’m vacationing like I am sure many of you are. But my quick Facebook post on November 26 was disturbing for some so let me explain. Here’s how I look at polling when evaluating and the impact of campaign strategy. I’ll note here special attention to black American voting.

I am generally critical of polls as are most consultants. Polls become more helpful in predicting trends in the aggregate. Rarely is one poll alone very helpful. For messaging, a consultant may publicly promote a single…

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Leo Smith

Connecting America by Building Bridges that Engage for Better Solutions Instagram: @leosmithpolitics Twitter: @leosmithtweets WEB www.leojsmith.com